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Neighborhood · Newport News, VA

Bayberry Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,924 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 3–5.1

Bayberry spans 2 census tracts of Newport News, VA and houses 7,924 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Newport News baseline of 30.6%, 51% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 26%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 5.1, a 2.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.6/10. Court records carry 3,517 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 65.0% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 37.1% in 2016, is well off that peak. That places it #15 of 30 neighborhoods in Newport News.

For a like-for-like read, Village Green and Warwick Lawns score within a fraction of it. Average gross rent runs $1,288, close to the Newport News average.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $63,019. 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bayberry vs Newport News How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.4% +68%
Newport News: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,288 -4%
Newport News: $1,339
Average HH income
$63,019 -6%
Newport News: $66,718
Poverty rate
13.7% -10%
Newport News: 15.1%
Renter share
64.4% +24%
Newport News: 51.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bayberry and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–5.1

Why Bayberry scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
64% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
13.7% below poverty line · Range 1.4–5.4 across tracts
3.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–3.3 across tracts
2.6
Risk score comparison

Bayberry vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bayberry score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.0BayberryNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Bayberry

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51700032117 5.1 3,941 64% $1,163
51700032129 3 3,983 39% $1,411
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 53

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 66%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 46%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bayberry

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,517Total filings (sum)
  • 35.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 65.0%Peak year (2015)
  • 37.15%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bayberry

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bayberry

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bayberry?

Bayberry scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bayberry compare to Newport News overall?

Bayberry scores 0.0 points higher than Newport News overall (4/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,288 vs $1,339.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bayberry?

Average gross rent in Bayberry is $1,288/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bayberry residents are renters?

64% of Bayberry households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Newport News). The neighborhood has 7,924 residents.
Q5

Is Bayberry a high social-vulnerability area?

Bayberry sits in the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bayberry have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bayberry is census tract 51700032117 (score 5.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.1, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Bayberry for landlords?

Bayberry carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Newport News as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bayberry?

Bayberry has 7,840 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (34.1%), Other / Multiracial (7.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bayberry

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Newport News

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bayberry.

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