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Neighborhood · Newport News, VA

Bayberry Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,924 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 3.7–5.1

Bayberry is a white-black neighborhood in Newport News with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,924 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 26% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,288/month sits 4% lower than the Newport News citywide average ($1,339).

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bayberry vs Newport News How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.4% +68%
Newport News: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,288 -4%
Newport News: $1,339
Average HH income
$63,019 -6%
Newport News: $66,718
Poverty rate
13.7% -10%
Newport News: 15.1%
Renter share
64.4% +24%
Newport News: 51.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bayberry and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.7–5.1

Why Bayberry scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
64% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
13.7% below poverty line · Range 1.4–5.4 across tracts
3.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–3.3 across tracts
2.6
Risk score comparison

Bayberry vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bayberry score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Bayberry: 4.44.4BayberryNeighborhoodParent city: 4.34.3Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Bayberry

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51700032117 5.1 3,941 64% $1,163
51700032129 3.7 3,983 39% $1,411
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 53

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 66%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 46%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bayberry

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,517Total filings (sum)
  • 35.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 65.0%Peak year (2015)
  • 37.15%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bayberry

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bayberry

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bayberry?

Bayberry scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bayberry compare to Newport News overall?

Bayberry scores 0.1 points higher than Newport News overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,288 vs $1,339.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bayberry?

Average gross rent in Bayberry is $1,288/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bayberry residents are renters?

64% of Bayberry households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Newport News). The neighborhood has 7,924 residents.
Q5

Is Bayberry a high social-vulnerability area?

Bayberry sits in the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bayberry have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bayberry is census tract 51700032117 (score 5.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 5.1, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Bayberry for landlords?

Bayberry carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Newport News as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bayberry?

Bayberry has 7,840 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (34.1%), Other / Multiracial (7.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bayberry

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Newport News

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bayberry.

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