Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Commodore Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk
Tract 51710000800 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 1,950 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 4.5/10, tract 51710000800 in the Commodore Park area of Norfolk, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,950. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,012
Renter share61.6%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate15.3%
Median income$46,081
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.9379, -76.2688 · click any tract to drill in
Why Commodore Park scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
15.3% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,133 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Commodore Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 4%Grade B
- 27%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 267Total filings over 2 yrs
- 21.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.4%Peak (2011)
- 121Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.5%Food insecurity
- 15.1%SNAP enrollment
- 10.5%Transit barriers
- 10.9%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 32.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Commodore Park
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.7/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Court records carry 267 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,133, 14% below the Norfolk average.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 22.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Norfolk. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 21.3% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.7/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 53% of renters.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710000800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710000800?
Census tract 51710000800 in the Commodore Park neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710000800?
Median gross rent is $1,133/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710000800?
15.3% of residents in tract 51710000800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,950.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710000800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 66th, minority 62th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 51710000800 considered part of Commodore Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710000800 fall within Commodore Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710000800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 267 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710000800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.32% of renter households, peaking at 22.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710000800 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710000800 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710000800 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710000800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Harbor Vista
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Edgewater
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Colonial Place
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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