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Neighborhood · Norfolk, VA

Elmhurst Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,849 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 4.3–4.3

Elmhurst is a black-white neighborhood in Norfolk with 1 census tract and a population of 3,849 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 61% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 10% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,152/month sits 13% lower than the Norfolk citywide average ($1,321).

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Elmhurst vs Norfolk How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.4% +90%
Norfolk: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$1,152 -13%
Norfolk: $1,321
Average HH income
$68,140 +6%
Norfolk: $64,017
Poverty rate
12.3% -29%
Norfolk: 17.3%
Renter share
39.6% -26%
Norfolk: 53.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Elmhurst and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.3–4.3

Why Elmhurst scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
40% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
12.3% below poverty line · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Elmhurst vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Elmhurst score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Elmhurst: 4.34.3ElmhurstNeighborhoodParent city: 4.54.5Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Elmhurst

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51710005902 4.3 3,849 61% $1,152
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 63

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 72%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 65%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 27%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Elmhurst

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 888Total filings (sum)
  • 77.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 87.6%Peak year (2011)
  • 67.26%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Elmhurst

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Elmhurst

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Elmhurst?

Elmhurst scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Elmhurst compare to Norfolk overall?

Elmhurst scores 0.2 points lower than Norfolk overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,152 vs $1,321.
Q3

What is the average rent in Elmhurst?

Average gross rent in Elmhurst is $1,152/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Elmhurst residents are renters?

40% of Elmhurst households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Norfolk). The neighborhood has 3,849 residents.
Q5

Is Elmhurst a high social-vulnerability area?

Elmhurst sits in the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Elmhurst for landlords?

Elmhurst carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Norfolk as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Elmhurst?

Elmhurst has 3,689 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (46%), White (non-Hispanic) (31%), Other / Multiracial (9.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Elmhurst

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Norfolk

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Elmhurst.

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