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Neighborhood · Norfolk, VA

Elmhurst Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,849 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3.6–3.6

Elmhurst maps to a single census tract in Norfolk, VA, population 3,849. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.6/10, Lower tier. Against a Norfolk baseline of 32.3%, 61% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.8/10. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Court records for this tract carry 888 eviction filings.

Severe burden reaches 10%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. At $1,152 a month, rents sit 13% under what the rest of Norfolk commands. Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 87.6% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 67.3% in 2016 against a 87.6% peak. That places it #37 of 55 neighborhoods in Norfolk.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $68,140. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 3.6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Elmhurst vs Norfolk How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.4% +90%
Norfolk: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$1,152 -13%
Norfolk: $1,321
Average HH income
$68,140 +6%
Norfolk: $64,017
Poverty rate
12.3% -29%
Norfolk: 17.3%
Renter share
39.6% -26%
Norfolk: 53.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Elmhurst and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.6–3.6

Why Elmhurst scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
40% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
12.3% below poverty line · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Elmhurst vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Elmhurst score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.6ElmhurstNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Elmhurst

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51710005902 3.6 3,849 61% $1,152
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 63

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 72%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 65%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 27%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Elmhurst

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 888Total filings (sum)
  • 77.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 87.6%Peak year (2011)
  • 67.26%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Elmhurst

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Elmhurst

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Elmhurst?

Elmhurst scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Elmhurst compare to Norfolk overall?

Elmhurst scores 0.5 points lower than Norfolk overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,152 vs $1,321.
Q3

What is the average rent in Elmhurst?

Average gross rent in Elmhurst is $1,152/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Elmhurst residents are renters?

40% of Elmhurst households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Norfolk). The neighborhood has 3,849 residents.
Q5

Is Elmhurst a high social-vulnerability area?

Elmhurst sits in the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Elmhurst for landlords?

Elmhurst carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Norfolk as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Elmhurst?

Elmhurst has 3,689 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (46%), White (non-Hispanic) (31%), Other / Multiracial (9.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Elmhurst

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Norfolk

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Elmhurst.

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