2 census tracts · pop 5,388 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10
· range 3.2–5.2
River Oaks spans 2 census tracts of Norfolk, VA and houses 5,388 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.1/10, in the Moderate tier. 56% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Norfolk rate of 32.3%.
Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.2 to 5.2, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.
Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.8/10.
Filings are well documented here: 1,132 across 2 observed tracts. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.
CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 21.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation is 25.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 64.0% of renter households. Among the 55 mapped neighborhoods of Norfolk, it ranks #21 by risk, the middle third. Judgments average 7.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,314, close to the Norfolk average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $72,137.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
River Oaks vs NorfolkHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport77%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in River Oaks
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,132Total filings (sum)
54.22%Avg annual filing rate
64.0%Peak year (2016)
53.49%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in River Oaks
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
20.9%Housing insecurity
14.8%Utility shutoff threat
25.3%Food insecurity
24.1%SNAP enrollment
12.3%No health insurance
35.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About River Oaks
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for River Oaks?
River Oaks scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does River Oaks compare to Norfolk overall?
River Oaks scores 0.0 points higher than Norfolk overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,314 vs $1,321.
Q3
What is the average rent in River Oaks?
Average gross rent in River Oaks is $1,314/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of River Oaks residents are renters?
59% of River Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Norfolk). The neighborhood has 5,388 residents.
Q5
Is River Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?
River Oaks sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in River Oaks have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in River Oaks is census tract 51710007001 (score 5.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 5.2, a spread of 2 points.
Q7
How safe is River Oaks for landlords?
River Oaks carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Norfolk as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of River Oaks?
River Oaks has 5,813 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (52.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (23.9%), Hispanic / Latino (13%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
