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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

River Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Norfolk

Tract 51710006200 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 3,057 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 51710006200, home to 3,057 residents in River Oaks in Norfolk, scores $1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 37% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 63% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,150 a month against an average household income of $75,256 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 11% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,264
Renter share28.8%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$75,256

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In River Oaks
Very Low
Within parent city
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
Low
Within county
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#60 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
Low
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#612 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.8713, -76.2162 · click any tract to drill in

Why River Oaks scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,150 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How River Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
River Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 006200Norfolk: 4.54.5Norfolkparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 424Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 48.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 45.5%Peak (2016)
  • 217Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within River Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River Oaks

What moves this score most is housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710006200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710006200?

Census tract 51710006200 in the River Oaks neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710006200?

Median gross rent is $1,150/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710006200?

9.4% of residents in tract 51710006200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,057.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710006200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 34th, minority 68th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 51710006200 considered part of River Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710006200 fall within River Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710006200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 424 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710006200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 48.62% of renter households, peaking at 45.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710006200 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710006200 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710006200 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51710006200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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