Campostella Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

44% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Norfolk rate of 32.3%. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1/10.

Average gross rent is $868, 34% below the Norfolk average of $1,321. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 32.2% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 33%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. On the high side is economic stress at 8.2/10.

On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Severe burden reaches 13%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Filings are well documented here: 927 across 2 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 34.1% of renter households. Among the 55 mapped neighborhoods of Norfolk, it ranks #7 by risk, the upper third.

With little internal variation, 5.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.