Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
River Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk
Tract 51710007001 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 2,331 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
51710007001 is a census tract in the River Oaks area of Norfolk, VA. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,331. 99% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%
Stable renters 53%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units983
Renter share99.4%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate28.2%
Median income$68,047
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.8632, -76.2177 · click any tract to drill in
Why River Oaks scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
28.2% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,530 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How River Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 708Total filings over 2 yrs
- 61.56%Avg annual filing rate
- 64.0%Peak (2016)
- 439Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within River Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.2%Housing insecurity
- 21.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.6%Food insecurity
- 37.5%SNAP enrollment
- 19.8%Transit barriers
- 15.2%No health insurance
- 24.0%Frequent mental distress
- 40.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in River Oaks
Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 36.6% against 17.8% nationally. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10.
Housing insecurity runs 29.2% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Against the Norfolk City average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
At $1,530 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Norfolk commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 708 filings here across 2 tracked years. On the high side, economic stress reads 7.1/10.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 64.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 61.6% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710007001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710007001?
Census tract 51710007001 in the River Oaks neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710007001?
Median gross rent is $1,530/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710007001?
28.2% of residents in tract 51710007001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,331.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710007001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 24th, minority 91th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 51710007001 considered part of River Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710007001 fall within River Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710007001?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 708 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710007001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 61.56% of renter households, peaking at 64.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710007001 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710007001 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710007001 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Edgewater
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Colonial Place
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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