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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

River Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk

Tract 51710007001 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 2,331 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Here is how census tract 51710007001, in the River Oaks neighborhood of Norfolk eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.6/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,331. That is riskier than about 59% of US census tracts.

About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,530 monthly, set against $68,047 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 99% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 53% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units983
Renter share99.4%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate28.2%
Median income$68,047

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In River Oaks
Very High
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#145 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.8632, -76.2177 · click any tract to drill in

Why River Oaks scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
28.2% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,530 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How River Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
River Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 007001Norfolk: 4.54.5Norfolkparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 708Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 61.56%Avg annual filing rate
  • 64.0%Peak (2016)
  • 439Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within River Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River Oaks

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 29.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 21.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 708 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 61.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 64.0% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710007001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710007001?

Census tract 51710007001 in the River Oaks neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710007001?

Median gross rent is $1,530/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710007001?

28.2% of residents in tract 51710007001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,331.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710007001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 24th, minority 91th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 51710007001 considered part of River Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710007001 fall within River Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710007001?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 708 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710007001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 61.56% of renter households, peaking at 64.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710007001 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710007001 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710007001 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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