Neighborhood · Norfolk, VA

Willard Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,753 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10 · range 5.9–5.9

Willard Park is a black-white neighborhood in Norfolk with 1 census tract and a population of 2,753 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 56% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 47% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,222/month sits 7% lower than the Norfolk citywide average ($1,321).

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Willard Park vs Norfolk How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

56.1% +74%

Norfolk: 32.3%

Average gross rent

$1,222 -7%

Norfolk: $1,321

Average HH income

$47,259 -26%

Norfolk: $64,017

Poverty rate

32.6% +89%

Norfolk: 17.3%

Renter share

56.1% +5%

Norfolk: 53.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Willard Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.9–5.9

Why Willard Park scores 5.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Rent control risk

56% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

56% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Economic stress

32.6% below poverty line · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Risk score comparison

Willard Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Willard Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51710003100	5.9	2,753	56%	$1,222

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 78

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 91%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 62%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 43%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Willard Park

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

330Total filings (sum)
24.76%Avg annual filing rate
26.5%Peak year (2011)
23.05%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Willard Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

24.0%Housing insecurity
18.3%Utility shutoff threat
32.2%Food insecurity
33.5%SNAP enrollment
14.2%No health insurance
43.3%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Willard Park

What is the eviction-risk score for Willard Park?

Willard Park scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Willard Park compare to Norfolk overall?

Willard Park scores 1.4 points higher than Norfolk overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,222 vs $1,321.

What is the average rent in Willard Park?

Average gross rent in Willard Park is $1,222/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Willard Park residents are renters?

56% of Willard Park households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Norfolk). The neighborhood has 2,753 residents.

Is Willard Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Willard Park sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Willard Park for landlords?

Willard Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Norfolk as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Willard Park?

Willard Park has 2,632 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (47%), White (non-Hispanic) (34.2%), Hispanic / Latino (8.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Willard Park

4 Norview 2 tracts · pop 6,683 5.3 Ballentine Place 2 tracts · pop 5,062 5.9 Huntersville 3 tracts · pop 7,386 4.7 Colonial Place 2 tracts · pop 8,222 5.5 Brambleton 5 tracts · pop 10,523 3.9 Ghent 4 tracts · pop 8,560

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Norfolk

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Willard Park.

5.9 Huntersville 3 tracts · pop 7,386 6 Harbor Vista 1 tracts · pop 3,100 6 Campostella Heights 2 tracts · pop 6,323 6.1 Miller Heights 1 tracts · pop 4,073 5.7 Denby Park 1 tracts · pop 2,678 5.6 Tanglewood 1 tracts · pop 2,894

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