1 census tracts · pop 2,753 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10
· range 5.5–5.5
Willard Park is a one-tract neighborhood of Norfolk, VA and houses 2,753 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.5/10, in the Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 47%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
56% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Norfolk rate of 32.3%. The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.
What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 8.1/10. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.
18.3% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 24.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.2/10.
Court records for this tract carry 330 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 26.5% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 23.1% in 2016 against a 26.5% peak.
Average gross rent is $1,222, 7% below the Norfolk average of $1,321. Among the 55 mapped neighborhoods of Norfolk, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $47,259.
One tract means one number: 5.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Willard Park vs NorfolkHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Willard Park
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
330Total filings (sum)
24.76%Avg annual filing rate
26.5%Peak year (2011)
23.05%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Willard Park
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
24.0%Housing insecurity
18.3%Utility shutoff threat
32.2%Food insecurity
33.5%SNAP enrollment
14.2%No health insurance
43.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Willard Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Willard Park?
Willard Park scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Willard Park compare to Norfolk overall?
Willard Park scores 1.4 points higher than Norfolk overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,222 vs $1,321.
Q3
What is the average rent in Willard Park?
Average gross rent in Willard Park is $1,222/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Willard Park residents are renters?
56% of Willard Park households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Norfolk). The neighborhood has 2,753 residents.
Q5
Is Willard Park a high social-vulnerability area?
Willard Park sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Willard Park for landlords?
Willard Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Norfolk as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Willard Park?
Willard Park has 2,632 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (47%), White (non-Hispanic) (34.2%), Hispanic / Latino (8.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
