Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Westchester Eviction Risk: Moderate , Petersburg

Tract 51730810900 · Petersburg city, VA · pop 3,265 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 51730810900 covers part of the Westchester area of Petersburg, VA, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,265. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.9/10.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 18% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,120
Renter share32.4%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$82,217

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Westchester
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 11 tracts In Petersburg
Very Low
Within county
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 11 tracts In Petersburg city
Very Low
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#739 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 37.2090, -77.3777 · click any tract to drill in

Why Westchester scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Petersburg
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,383 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Petersburg
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Petersburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Petersburg
7.3

How Westchester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Westchester risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 8109005.9Petersburgparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,944Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 49.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 64.3%Peak (2010)
  • 159Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51730810900
Filings dropped 50% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Westchester

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.7/10. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.9/10. Against the Petersburg City average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.6 points.

Average gross rent is $1,383, 18% above the Petersburg average. Cost burden runs 43% here against 48.7% across Petersburg City.

The filing record is not thin: 1,944 evictions over 7 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2010 at 64.3% of renter households.

In a typical year about 49.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51730810900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51730810900?

Census tract 51730810900 in the Westchester neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51730810900?

Median gross rent is $1,383/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51730810900?

7.6% of residents in tract 51730810900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,265.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51730810900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 100th, minority 87th, housing 54th.
Q5

Is tract 51730810900 considered part of Westchester?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51730810900 fall within Westchester (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51730810900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,944 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51730810900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 49.25% of renter households, peaking at 64.3% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51730810900 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51730810900 compare to Petersburg overall?

Tract 51730810900 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Petersburg at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Petersburg

Top eight tracts in Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related