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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Harbor Station Eviction Risk: Lower , Cherry Hill

Tract 51153900804 · Prince William County, VA · pop 5,694 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

51153900804 is a census tract in the Harbor Station area of Cherry Hill, VA. It scores 3.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,694. Cost burden runs 76% here against 43.3% across Prince William County.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 8% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,934
Renter share32.2%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate1.3%
Median income$174,655

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Harbor Station
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Cherry Hill
Very Low
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#45 of 93 tracts In Prince William County
Moderate
Within state
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#1,374 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cherry Hill and the region

Centroid at 38.5814, -77.2772 · click any tract to drill in

Why Harbor Station scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cherry Hill
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,128 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cherry Hill
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cherry Hill
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cherry Hill
6.4

How Harbor Station compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Harbor Station risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.6This tracttract 9008044.4Cherry Hillparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Harbor Station

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10.

16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $2,128 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Cherry Hill commands.

That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $174,655, annual rent is just 15%.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Prince William County average of 4.1 closely.

32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51153900804

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153900804?

Census tract 51153900804 in the Harbor Station neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51153900804?

Median gross rent is $2,128/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51153900804?

1.3% of residents in tract 51153900804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,694.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51153900804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 60th, minority 82th, housing 21th.
Q5

Is tract 51153900804 considered part of Harbor Station?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51153900804 fall within Harbor Station (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51153900804 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51153900804 compare to Cherry Hill overall?

Tract 51153900804 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Cherry Hill at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cherry Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cherry Hill

Top eight tracts in Cherry Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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