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Neighborhood · Richmond, VA

Carytown Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 4,090 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3.4–3.9

Carytown is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Richmond with 2 census tracts and a population of 4,090 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 39% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 13% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,535/month sits 12% higher than the Richmond citywide average ($1,372).

Risk score
3.6
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Carytown vs Richmond How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.0% +25%
Richmond: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$1,535 +12%
Richmond: $1,372
Average HH income
$90,100 +44%
Richmond: $62,671
Poverty rate
7.2% -62%
Richmond: 18.8%
Renter share
61.1% +8%
Richmond: 56.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carytown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.4–3.9

Why Carytown scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
61% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
7.2% below poverty line · Range 1.3–2.6 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–4.4 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Carytown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carytown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Carytown: 3.63.6CarytownNeighborhoodParent city: 4.74.7Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Carytown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51760040800 3.9 1,443 42% $1,392
51760040900 3.4 2,647 37% $1,613
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 3

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 15%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 1%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 18%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 31%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Carytown

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 173Total filings (sum)
  • 3.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.7%Peak year (2013)
  • 3.47%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carytown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Carytown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carytown?

Carytown scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carytown compare to Richmond overall?

Carytown scores 1.1 points lower than Richmond overall (4.7/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,535 vs $1,372.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carytown?

Average gross rent in Carytown is $1,535/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carytown residents are renters?

61% of Carytown households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Richmond). The neighborhood has 4,090 residents.
Q5

Is Carytown a high social-vulnerability area?

Carytown sits in the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Carytown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Carytown is census tract 51760040800 (score 3.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 3.9, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Carytown for landlords?

Carytown carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Richmond as a whole (4.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Carytown?

Carytown has 3,824 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.2%), Other / Multiracial (4.6%), Hispanic / Latino (3.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carytown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Richmond

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carytown.

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