2 census tracts · pop 4,090 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10
· range 3–3.3
Carytown spans 2 census tracts of Richmond, VA, population 4,090. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.1/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.8/10.
Against a Richmond baseline of 31.1%, 39% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10.
Severe burden reaches 13%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Court records carry 173 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.
Food insecurity affects 7.0% of adults, 10.8 points below the national rate. SNAP participation is 5.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally. At $1,535 a month, rents sit 12% over what the rest of Richmond commands.
Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 5.7% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 3.9% in 2016 against a 5.7% peak.
Among the 54 mapped neighborhoods of Richmond, it ranks #44 by risk, the lower third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Windsor Farms and Stonewall Court. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.3 points apart at the extremes.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $90,100.
With little internal variation, 3.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Carytown vs RichmondHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority18%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport31%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Carytown
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
173Total filings (sum)
3.21%Avg annual filing rate
5.7%Peak year (2013)
3.47%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carytown
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
7.1%Housing insecurity
4.6%Utility shutoff threat
6.8%Food insecurity
5.2%SNAP enrollment
5.5%No health insurance
22.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Carytown
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Carytown?
Carytown scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Carytown compare to Richmond overall?
Carytown scores 1.2 points lower than Richmond overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,535 vs $1,372.
Q3
What is the average rent in Carytown?
Average gross rent in Carytown is $1,535/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Carytown residents are renters?
61% of Carytown households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Richmond). The neighborhood has 4,090 residents.
Q5
Is Carytown a high social-vulnerability area?
Carytown sits in the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Carytown have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Carytown is census tract 51760040800 (score 3.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.3, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Carytown for landlords?
Carytown carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Richmond as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Carytown?
Carytown has 3,824 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.2%), Other / Multiracial (4.6%), Hispanic / Latino (3.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
