Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Cedar Bluff Eviction Risk: Moderate , Roanoke

Tract 51770001200 · Roanoke city, VA · pop 3,531 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

51770001200 is a census tract in the Cedar Bluff area of Roanoke, VA. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,531 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 42% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units1,879
Renter share83.7%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate33.6%
Median income$38,344

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Cedar Bluff
Very High
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 25 tracts In Roanoke
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 25 tracts In Roanoke city
Very High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#302 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Roanoke and the region

Centroid at 37.2619, -79.9479 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cedar Bluff scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Roanoke
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
33.6% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$924 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roanoke
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roanoke
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roanoke
4.5

How Cedar Bluff compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cedar Bluff risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0012004.0Roanokeparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cedar Bluff. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cedar Bluff

This is renter territory: 84% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.4/10. Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 42.8% across Roanoke City.

It sits 1.2 points above the Roanoke City average of 4.2. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Roanoke. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $924, close to the Roanoke average.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $38,344.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51770001200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51770001200?

Census tract 51770001200 in the Cedar Bluff neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51770001200?

Median gross rent is $924/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51770001200?

33.6% of residents in tract 51770001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,531.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51770001200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 5th, minority 37th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 51770001200 considered part of Cedar Bluff?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51770001200 fall within Cedar Bluff (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51770001200 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51770001200 compare to Roanoke overall?

Tract 51770001200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Roanoke at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roanoke eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 51770001200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Roanoke

Top eight tracts in Roanoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related