Aquia Eviction Risk: Lower , Aquia Harbour
Tract 51179010108 · Stafford County, VA · pop 6,235 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 51179010108 sits in the Aquia area of Aquia Harbour, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Cost burden runs 14% here against 41.0% across Stafford County.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Aquia Harbour and the region
Centroid at 38.4821, -77.3784 · click any tract to drill in
Why Aquia scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Aquia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 38Total filings over 2 yrs
- 4.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.9%Peak (2015)
- 16Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Aquia. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.5%Food insecurity
- 9.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 26.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Aquia
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Against the Stafford County average of 4.5, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.5 points.
The voucher gap is 18.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 38 evictions over 2 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2015 at 4.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 4% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 51179010108
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51179010108?
What is the average rent in tract 51179010108?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51179010108?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51179010108?
Is tract 51179010108 considered part of Aquia?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51179010108?
What share of households in tract 51179010108 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51179010108 compare to Aquia Harbour overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Aquia Harbour
Top eight tracts in Aquia Harbour ranked by composite eviction-risk score.