Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Camp Barrett Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51179010201 · Stafford County, VA · pop 1,936 · 26% of tract blocks fall in Camp Barrett
Tract 51179010201 sits in Camp Barrett, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. It is home to 1,936 residents. 100% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 100%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units9
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate100.0%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
National
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Camp Barrett and the region
Centroid at 38.5277, -77.4512 · click any tract to drill in
Why Camp Barrett scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Camp Barrett
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
100.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Camp Barrett
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Camp Barrett
1.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Camp Barrett
2.8
How Camp Barrett compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1Total filings over 1 yrs
- 6.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.7%Peak (2015)
- 1Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.5%Housing insecurity
- 17.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.4%Food insecurity
- 35.8%SNAP enrollment
- 24.0%Transit barriers
- 17.8%No health insurance
- 25.4%Frequent mental distress
- 43.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Camp Barrett
Against Stafford County at 41.0%, 100% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 100%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.1/10.
Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.9/10. Disability prevalence runs 43.6% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Stafford County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1 filings here across 1 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 6.7% of renter households were served.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51179010201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51179010201?
Census tract 51179010201 in Camp Barrett scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 51179010201?
100.0% of residents in tract 51179010201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,936.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 51179010201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 12th, minority 46th, housing 38th.
Q4
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51179010201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51179010201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.67% of renter households, peaking at 6.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5
What share of households in tract 51179010201 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51179010201 compare to Camp Barrett overall?
Tract 51179010201 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Camp Barrett at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Camp Barrett; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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