Neighborhood · Stafford Courthouse, VA

Bells Hill Terrace Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 9,816 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1/10 · range 1–1

Bells Hill Terrace is a white-black neighborhood in Stafford Courthouse with 1 census tract and a population of 9,816 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 31% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 18% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,973/month sits 7% lower than the Stafford Courthouse citywide average ($2,130).

Risk score

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Bells Hill Terrace vs Stafford Courthouse How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

30.5% +34%

Stafford Courthouse: 22.8%

Average gross rent

$1,973 -7%

Stafford Courthouse: $2,130

Average HH income

$170,165 +75%

Stafford Courthouse: $97,030

Poverty rate

1.1% -38%

Stafford Courthouse: 1.8%

Renter share

20.8% -60%

Stafford Courthouse: 51.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bells Hill Terrace and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1–1

Why Bells Hill Terrace scores 1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Rent control risk

31% of income on rent · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts

4.8

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts

2.6

Tenant organizing strength

21% renter households · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts

9.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Economic stress

1.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Risk score comparison

Bells Hill Terrace vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Bells Hill Terrace

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51179010210	1	9,816	30%	$1,973

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 11%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 36%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 29%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bells Hill Terrace

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

280Total filings (sum)
14.65%Avg annual filing rate
16.6%Peak year (2016)
16.57%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bells Hill Terrace

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

10.9%Housing insecurity
6.7%Utility shutoff threat
10.6%Food insecurity
7.5%SNAP enrollment
7.2%No health insurance
22.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Bells Hill Terrace

What is the eviction-risk score for Bells Hill Terrace?

Bells Hill Terrace scores 1/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Bells Hill Terrace compare to Stafford Courthouse overall?

Bells Hill Terrace scores 2.0 points lower than Stafford Courthouse overall (3/10). Renters spend 31% of income on rent vs 23% citywide. Average rent: $1,973 vs $2,130.

What is the average rent in Bells Hill Terrace?

Average gross rent in Bells Hill Terrace is $1,973/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Bells Hill Terrace residents are renters?

21% of Bells Hill Terrace households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Stafford Courthouse). The neighborhood has 9,816 residents.

Is Bells Hill Terrace a high social-vulnerability area?

Bells Hill Terrace sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Bells Hill Terrace for landlords?

Bells Hill Terrace carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Stafford Courthouse as a whole (3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Bells Hill Terrace?

Bells Hill Terrace has 10,921 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (39.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (32.8%), Hispanic / Latino (14.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bells Hill Terrace

1.8 Aquia Town Center 2 tracts · pop 9,532 1.7 Aquia 2 tracts · pop 14,123

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Stafford Courthouse

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bells Hill Terrace.

1 Embrey Mill 1 tracts · pop 4,393

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