Neighborhood · Stafford Courthouse, VA

Embrey Mill Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,393 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1/10 · range 1–1

Embrey Mill is a white-black neighborhood in Stafford Courthouse with 1 census tract and a population of 4,393 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 65% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 65% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,816/month sits 32% higher than the Stafford Courthouse citywide average ($2,130).

Risk score

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Embrey Mill vs Stafford Courthouse How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

65.1% +186%

Stafford Courthouse: 22.8%

Average gross rent

$2,816 +32%

Stafford Courthouse: $2,130

Average HH income

$170,357 +76%

Stafford Courthouse: $97,030

Poverty rate

1.2% -32%

Stafford Courthouse: 1.8%

Renter share

4.2% -92%

Stafford Courthouse: 51.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Embrey Mill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1–1

Why Embrey Mill scores 1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Rent control risk

65% of income on rent · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts

4.8

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts

2.6

Tenant organizing strength

4% renter households · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts

9.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Economic stress

1.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Risk score comparison

Embrey Mill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Embrey Mill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51179010218	1	4,393	65%	$2,816

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 33

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 19%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 35%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 58%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 51%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Embrey Mill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.9%Housing insecurity
7.9%Utility shutoff threat
13.6%Food insecurity
10.1%SNAP enrollment
10.0%No health insurance
26.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Embrey Mill

What is the eviction-risk score for Embrey Mill?

Embrey Mill scores 1/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Embrey Mill compare to Stafford Courthouse overall?

Embrey Mill scores 2.0 points lower than Stafford Courthouse overall (3/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 23% citywide. Average rent: $2,816 vs $2,130.

What is the average rent in Embrey Mill?

Average gross rent in Embrey Mill is $2,816/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Embrey Mill residents are renters?

4% of Embrey Mill households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Stafford Courthouse). The neighborhood has 4,393 residents.

Is Embrey Mill a high social-vulnerability area?

Embrey Mill sits in the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Embrey Mill for landlords?

Embrey Mill carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Stafford Courthouse as a whole (3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Embrey Mill?

Embrey Mill has 4,317 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (49.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (25.3%), Hispanic / Latino (16.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Embrey Mill

1.8 Aquia Town Center 2 tracts · pop 9,532 1.7 Aquia 2 tracts · pop 14,123

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Stafford Courthouse

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Embrey Mill.

1 Bells Hill Terrace 1 tracts · pop 9,816

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