1 census tracts · pop 4,393 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10
· range 3.8–3.8
Embrey Mill maps to a single census tract in Stafford Courthouse, VA and houses 4,393 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.8/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The severe-burden share is 65%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Against a Stafford Courthouse baseline of 22.8%, 65% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.
Running cool is economic stress, at 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,816, 32% above the Stafford Courthouse average of $2,130.
The voucher gap is 21.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.6/10. Only 4% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Rent takes 20% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
One tract means one number: 3.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Embrey Mill vs Stafford CourthouseHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority58%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport51%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Embrey Mill
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
12.9%Housing insecurity
7.9%Utility shutoff threat
13.6%Food insecurity
10.1%SNAP enrollment
10.0%No health insurance
26.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Embrey Mill
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Embrey Mill?
Embrey Mill scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Embrey Mill compare to Stafford Courthouse overall?
Embrey Mill scores 0.6 points lower than Stafford Courthouse overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 23% citywide. Average rent: $2,816 vs $2,130.
Q3
What is the average rent in Embrey Mill?
Average gross rent in Embrey Mill is $2,816/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Embrey Mill residents are renters?
4% of Embrey Mill households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Stafford Courthouse). The neighborhood has 4,393 residents.
Q5
Is Embrey Mill a high social-vulnerability area?
Embrey Mill sits in the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Embrey Mill for landlords?
Embrey Mill carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Stafford Courthouse as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Embrey Mill?
Embrey Mill has 4,317 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (49.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (25.3%), Hispanic / Latino (16.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
