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Triangle, VA Eviction Risk Score Stafford County · Virginia · Population 10,450 · Updated

6.3 Elevated
★★★ High confidence
29.3%Tenant-law probabilityi
$2,283–5,190Typical eviction costi
59 daysTypical timelinei
12.77%Eviction filing ratei
$2,314HUD 2BR FMR 2025i
$1,554Median gross renti
31.9%Rent burdeni
36.9%Rentersi

Sub-score breakdown

Local political climate
5.6
Dem margin +3.3% in 2020
Regional political climate
5.6
Dem margin +3.3% in 2020
State political climate
3.2
Economic stress
6.7
8.0% poverty · 10.5% unemployed
Supply constraint
8.1
$1,554 median rent · 36.9% renters
Rent-control risk
6.4
31.9% rent burden
Eviction process difficulty
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
7.6
36.9% renters
Housing court bias
5.4
Eviction filing rate (ground truth)
9.1
12.77 filings per 100 renter households (county, latest year)
Voucher gap (market vs HUD FMR)
0.0
Market rent -32.8% vs HUD 2BR FMR ($2,314)

Sub-scores are national percentile rankings (1 = most landlord-friendly, 10 = most tenant-protective) derived from ACS 2023 5-year data, 2020 county presidential margin, and state law weighting. Source: ACS 2023 5-year + Gazetteer 2024.

Location & regional heat

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About eviction risk in Triangle, VA

Triangle, VA has an eviction risk score of 6.3 out of 10, placing it in the elevated-risk tier for landlords operating in Stafford County and the state of Virginia. The score combines local political climate, court disposition patterns, cost-of-eviction estimates, tenant organizing strength, and the likelihood of new tenant-protective legislation in the next legislative cycle.

Census ACS 2023 5-year estimates show median gross rent as a percentage of household income is 31.9% — a core driver of eviction filings, because households above 30% of income on rent are statistically more likely to miss a payment after any income shock. Median gross rent in Triangle is $1,554/month. About 36.9% of occupied units here are renter-occupied.

Economic stress: poverty rate 8.0%, unemployment 10.5%. Higher values correlate with higher eviction filing rates and longer court timelines.

Political climate: In 2020, Stafford County voted Democratic by 3.3 points — classified as politically mixed for purposes of rent-control or just-cause expansion risk.

What this score means for landlords

At 6.3/10, Triangle is an elevated-risk environment. Tenant protections are stronger than the national median. Use proactive screening, document notices in writing, and understand your specific just-cause and rent-cap exposure before raising rent or terminating a tenancy.

Nearby Cities — Eviction Risk Comparison

City Distance Population Risk score
Dumfries, VA 1.4 mi 5,816 6.1
Quantico Base, VA 1.7 mi 5,840 6.7
Cherry Hill, VA 2.2 mi 26,044 6.5
Quantico, VA 2.3 mi 578 6.1
Boswell's Corner, VA 4.2 mi 1,239 6.4
Leesylvania, VA 4.6 mi 21,632 6.0
Montclair, VA 4.8 mi 22,387 5.7
Camp Barrett, VA 6.7 mi 1,681 4.6

Landlord Guides & Research Tools

Deepen your research with these guides. The metrics powering this score feed directly into each breakdown.

Landlord Guides for Virginia

Eviction Costs — Virginia →
Filing fees, attorney fees, lost rent, sheriff lockout
Eviction Process — Virginia →
Step-by-step timeline, notices, statute cites
Rent Control — Virginia →
Statewide caps, local ordinances, just-cause
Tenant Screening — Virginia →
5-point protocol, legal rules, protected classes
Tenant Protections — Virginia →
Just cause, retaliation, habitability, entry