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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Bayville Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810041400 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 5,157 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 51810041400 in the Bayville Park area of Virginia Beach, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,157 residents. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 6% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,937
Renter share8.4%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate2.3%
Median income$153,813

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bayville Park
Moderate
Within parent city
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#87 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
Low
Within county
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#84 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,798 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.8961, -76.1166 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bayville Park scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,906 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How Bayville Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bayville Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0414003.8Virginia Beachparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 14Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 3.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.6%Peak (2016)
  • 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bayville Park

Average gross rent is $2,906, 70% above the Virginia Beach average. The voucher gap is 71.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Virginia Beach City average of 46.1%.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

SNAP participation runs 4.4% against 15.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Against the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. The filing record is not thin: 14 evictions over 1 years of observation.

Housing insecurity runs 6.1% against 14.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.6% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810041400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810041400?

Census tract 51810041400 in the Bayville Park neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810041400?

Median gross rent is $2,906/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810041400?

2.3% of residents in tract 51810041400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,157.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810041400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 28th, minority 33th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 51810041400 considered part of Bayville Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810041400 fall within Bayville Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810041400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810041400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.62% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51810041400 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51810041400 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810041400 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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