Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Brigadoon Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach
Tract 51810046223 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 2,996 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
51810046223 is a census tract in the Brigadoon area of Virginia Beach, VA. It scores 3.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,996 residents. Severe burden reaches 45%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,064
Renter share15.0%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$103,906
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
39
th percentile
Low
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region
Centroid at 36.7926, -76.1718 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brigadoon scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,541 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
How Brigadoon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 1 yrs
- 7.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.4%Peak (2016)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brigadoon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.7%Food insecurity
- 9.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brigadoon
The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $2,541, 48% above the Virginia Beach average.
63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Virginia Beach City average of 46.1%. The voucher gap is 49.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Court records carry 10 eviction filings across 1 observed years.
It sits 0.6 points below the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9. The worst year on record was 2016, when 7.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 7.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #61,558 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51810046223
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810046223?
Census tract 51810046223 in the Brigadoon neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51810046223?
Median gross rent is $2,541/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51810046223?
5.9% of residents in tract 51810046223 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,996.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51810046223?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 88th, minority 58th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 51810046223 considered part of Brigadoon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810046223 fall within Brigadoon (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810046223?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810046223 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.35% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51810046223 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51810046223 compare to Virginia Beach overall?
Tract 51810046223 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach
Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Oceana
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pocahontas Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51810045808
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cheltenham Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Magic Hollow
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Green Run
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51810045200
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lawson Forest
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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