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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

North Virginia Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 51810043200 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 1,202 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 51810043200 covers part of the North Virginia Beach area of Virginia Beach, VA, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,202. Cost burden runs 70% here against 46.1% across Virginia Beach City.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 70% Stable renters 30% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units264
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$58,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In North Virginia Beach
Very High
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
High
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
High
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#649 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.9046, -76.0173 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Virginia Beach scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,988 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How North Virginia Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Virginia Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0432003.8Virginia Beachparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Virginia Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Virginia Beach

100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $58,750, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.6/10.

The voucher gap is 17.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $1,988, 16% above the Virginia Beach average.

Against the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Virginia eviction laws Beach rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.

Social vulnerability reads 4.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810043200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810043200?

Census tract 51810043200 in the North Virginia Beach neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810043200?

Median gross rent is $1,988/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810043200?

10.3% of residents in tract 51810043200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,202.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810043200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 18th, minority 47th, housing 17th.
Q5

Is tract 51810043200 considered part of North Virginia Beach?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810043200 fall within North Virginia Beach (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51810043200 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51810043200 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810043200 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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