Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Plainfield Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Winchester
Tract 51840000302 · Winchester city, VA · pop 6,007 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 51840000302 sits in the Plainfield Heights area of Winchester eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. It is home to 6,007 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units2,351
Renter share64.4%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate17.4%
Median income$61,606
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winchester and the region
Centroid at 39.1521, -78.1806 · click any tract to drill in
Why Plainfield Heights scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winchester
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
17.4% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,338 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winchester
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winchester
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winchester
7.2
How Plainfield Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.0%Housing insecurity
- 10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.0%Food insecurity
- 17.8%SNAP enrollment
- 10.6%Transit barriers
- 13.9%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 37.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Plainfield Heights
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Cost burden runs 41% here against 46.5% across Winchester City.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10. Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. It tracks the Winchester City average of 5.9 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,338, close to the Winchester average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $61,606. 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51840000302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51840000302?
Census tract 51840000302 in the Plainfield Heights neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51840000302?
Median gross rent is $1,338/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51840000302?
17.4% of residents in tract 51840000302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,007.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51840000302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 69th, minority 49th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 51840000302 considered part of Plainfield Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51840000302 fall within Plainfield Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51840000302 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51840000302 compare to Winchester overall?
Tract 51840000302 scores 6/10, right in line with the parent city of Winchester at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winchester
Top eight tracts in Winchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related