2 census tracts · pop 9,550 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10
· range 5.2–5.6
Mill Plain spans 2 census tracts of Vancouver, WA and houses 9,550 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Average gross rent is $2,470, 45% above the Vancouver average of $1,702.
The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.1/10. The voucher gap is 23.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
32% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. Running hot is supply constraint at 7.3/10. The severe-burden share is 8%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
That places it #40 of 39 neighborhoods in Vancouver. At 27% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Vancouver Mall and Fisher's Creek.
Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.4 points apart at the extremes.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $125,291.
With little internal variation, 5.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Mill Plain vs VancouverHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked
About Mill Plain
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Mill Plain?
Mill Plain scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Mill Plain compare to Vancouver overall?
Mill Plain scores 1.2 points lower than Vancouver overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 32% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,470 vs $1,702.
Q3
What is the average rent in Mill Plain?
Average gross rent in Mill Plain is $2,470/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Mill Plain residents are renters?
27% of Mill Plain households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Vancouver). The neighborhood has 9,550 residents.
Q5
Is Mill Plain a high social-vulnerability area?
Mill Plain sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Mill Plain have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Mill Plain is census tract 53011041335 (score 5.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 5.6, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7
How safe is Mill Plain for landlords?
Mill Plain carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Vancouver as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Mill Plain?
Mill Plain has 9,517 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.7%), Hispanic / Latino (10.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
