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Neighborhood · Mercer Island, WA

Fortuna Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,171 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 5.6–5.6

Fortuna maps to a single census tract in Mercer Island, WA and houses 3,171 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.6/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Mercer Island baseline of 27.3%, 45% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

31% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.4/10. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.2/10.

The filing record is not thin: 86 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2009 at 1.8% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 0.9% in 2013, is well off that peak. Average gross rent is $2,343, 6% below the Mercer Island average of $2,502. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Mercer Island, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third.

For a like-for-like read, McGilvra and Beaumont score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $126,520. 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Fortuna vs Mercer Island How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.3% +66%
Mercer Island: 27.3%
Average gross rent
$2,343 -6%
Mercer Island: $2,502
Average HH income
$126,520 -37%
Mercer Island: $202,359
Poverty rate
5.6% +21%
Mercer Island: 4.6%
Renter share
62.0% +88%
Mercer Island: 33.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fortuna and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.6–5.6

Why Fortuna scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
62% renter households · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Economic stress
5.6% below poverty line · Range 1.4–1.4 across tracts
1.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

Fortuna vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fortuna score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Fortuna: 5.65.6FortunaNeighborhoodParent city: 6.26.2Parent cityhost cityState: 6.16.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Fortuna

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
53033024400 5.6 3,171 45% $2,343
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 61

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 26%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 70%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 84%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Fortuna

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 86Total filings (sum)
  • 0.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.8%Peak year (2009)
  • 0.85%Latest filed (2013)
Frequently asked

About Fortuna

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fortuna?

Fortuna scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Fortuna compare to Mercer Island overall?

Fortuna scores 0.6 points lower than Mercer Island overall (6.2/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,343 vs $2,502.
Q3

What is the average rent in Fortuna?

Average gross rent in Fortuna is $2,343/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Fortuna residents are renters?

62% of Fortuna households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Mercer Island). The neighborhood has 3,171 residents.
Q5

Is Fortuna a high social-vulnerability area?

Fortuna sits in the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Fortuna for landlords?

Fortuna carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mercer Island as a whole (6.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Fortuna?

Fortuna has 3,166 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (49.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (36.9%), Other / Multiracial (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fortuna

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mercer Island

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fortuna.

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