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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Orange Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mobile

Tract 01097000402 · Mobile County, AL · pop 796 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.5/10 for census tract 01097000402 reflects conditions in Orange Grove in Mobile, Alabama. That is riskier than about 59% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 61% of renter households, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $495 monthly, set against $14,658 in average yearly household income, roughly 41% of income at the averages. About 100% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 61% Stable renters 39% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units384
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate63.0%
Median income$14,658

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Orange Grove
Very High
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#16 of 78 tracts In Mobile
High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#24 of 135 tracts In Mobile County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#239 of 1,436 tracts In Alabama
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mobile and the region

Centroid at 30.7039, -88.0521 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orange Grove scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mobile
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
63.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$495 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mobile
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mobile
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mobile
3.0

How Orange Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orange Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 000402Mobile: 2.82.8Mobileparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 501Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 10.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.2%Peak (2002)
  • 41Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 010970004022001: 162 filings (23.72/100 renter HHs)2002: 186 filings (27.23/100 renter HHs)2006: 6 filings (3.19/100 renter HHs)2007: 9 filings (4.79/100 renter HHs)2008: 5 filings (2.66/100 renter HHs)2009: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 43 filings (13.15/100 renter HHs)2014: 27 filings (8.26/100 renter HHs)2015: 22 filings (6.73/100 renter HHs)2016: 41 filings (9.03/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Orange Grove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orange Grove

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mobile eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Mobile County average of 4.9 and above the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 52.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 46.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 71% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 01097000402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01097000402?

Census tract 01097000402 in the Orange Grove neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 01097000402?

Median gross rent is $495/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 01097000402?

63.0% of residents in tract 01097000402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 796.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 01097000402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 57th, minority 100th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 01097000402 considered part of Orange Grove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01097000402 fall within Orange Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01097000402?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 501 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 01097000402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.97% of renter households, peaking at 27.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 01097000402 struggle to pay rent?

About 52.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 46.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 01097000402 compare to Mobile overall?

Tract 01097000402 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Mobile at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mobile eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 01097000402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 71% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mobile

Top eight tracts in Mobile ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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