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Sierra Vista, Arizona eviction risk overview
Ranked #921 of 1,861 nationally

Sierra Vista, AZ Eviction Risk: ELEVATED

Cochise County · Population 45,155

In 2026
Risk score
5.5
ELEVATED

94th percentile, Arizona.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 — 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.8 Average3.1 Now5.5
10 5 1976 · score 1.8 1977 · score 1.8 1978 · score 1.8 1979 · score 1.9 1980 · score 1.8 1981 · score 1.8 1982 · score 1.9 1983 · score 1.8 1984 · score 1.8 1985 · score 1.8 1986 · score 1.8 1987 · score 1.8 1988 · score 2.1 1989 · score 2.1 1990 · score 2.2 1991 · score 2.2 1992 · score 2.6 1993 · score 2.6 1994 · score 2.6 1995 · score 2.7 1996 · score 2.9 1997 · score 2.9 1998 · score 2.9 1999 · score 3.0 2000 · score 2.5 2001 · score 2.6 2002 · score 2.7 2003 · score 2.7 2004 · score 2.7 2005 · score 2.8 2006 · score 2.8 2007 · score 2.9 2008 · score 3.3 2009 · score 3.4 2010 · score 3.5 2011 · score 3.6 2012 · score 3.6 2013 · score 3.7 2014 · score 3.8 2015 · score 3.9 2016 · score 4.3 2017 · score 4.5 2018 · score 4.7 2019 · score 4.9 2020 · score 5.1 2021 · score 5.2 2022 · score 5.2 2023 · score 5.2 2024 · score 5.1 2025 · score 5.5 2026 · score 5.5

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 7.1 Regional 7.1 State 2.2 Economic 6.3 Supply 7.3 Rent Control 5.6 Eviction 1.8 Tenant 7.9 Housing 5.6 5.5 ELEVATED
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +23.2% (2024)
    7.1
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    7.1
  3. State political climate
    Arizona legislature & governorship
    2.2
  4. Economic stress
    10.9% poverty · 5.7% unemp.
    6.3
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,150 average · 38.0% renters
    7.3
  6. Rent Control risk
    28.8% of income on rent
    5.6
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    42 days filing → judgment
    1.8
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    38.0% renters
    7.9
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.6
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sierra Vista and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Sierra Vista compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Cochise County
Very High
#1 of 22 cities
Rank in county — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 22 cities in Cochise County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Arizona
Very High
#34 of 464 cities
Rank in state — 93th percentileBottomTop
#34 of 464 cities in Arizona for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Sierra Vista risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Sierra Vista: 5.55.5Sierra VistaThis cityCounty: 4.94.9Countyavg in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 5.5
    / 10 · ELEVATED
    The verdict

    A Elevated-tier market.

    Composite 5.5/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+3.7 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 42d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,150/mo. A contested eviction takes 42 days and costs $1,577–$4,440 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 38.0%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 45,155 residents, 38.0% rent. 29% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 10.9% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 7.1
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 7.1 and 7.1 (GOP margin +23.2% (2024)). State climate at 2.2 — mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 2.2
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 2.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies — and shows up in process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.8, housing court bias 5.6, rent-control risk 5.6. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.2 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 6.3
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 6.3. Supply constraint: 7.3. The numbers behind those: 10.9% poverty, 5.7% unemployment, 29% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Sierra Vista sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.7 Phoenix Tucson, AZ · 43d · ~$3.3k all-in ($78/day) · score 4.6 Tucson Mesa, AZ · 38d · ~$3.1k all-in ($82/day) · score 3.1 Mesa Gilbert, AZ · 37d · ~$3.6k all-in ($97/day) · score 2.4 Gilbert Chandler, AZ · 40d · ~$3.1k all-in ($78/day) · score 2.7 Chandler Glendale, AZ · 42d · ~$3.0k all-in ($72/day) · score 3.6 Glendale Scottsdale, AZ · 37d · ~$3.3k all-in ($88/day) · score 2.4 Scottsdale Peoria, AZ · 37d · ~$3.3k all-in ($90/day) · score 2.7 Peoria Tempe, AZ · 37d · ~$3.0k all-in ($81/day) · score 4.6 Tempe Surprise, AZ · 41d · ~$2.7k all-in ($67/day) · score 2.5 Surprise Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 3.4 Houston Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.2 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 4.9 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 8.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.8 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 7.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.2 Seattle Sierra Vista
Sierra Vista · 42d · ~$3.0k all-in ($72/day) · score 5.5 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Sierra Vista, AZ

Landlording in Sierra Vista, Arizona, presents an elevated-friction market where documented notices and proactive screening matter. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.5/10 (ELEVATED tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above — covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Elevated-friction market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Sierra Vista is a city of 45,155 residents where 38.0% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 28.8% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,150/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing — a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Sierra Vista eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.8/10 — a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Sierra Vista closes 42 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Sierra Vista's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.6/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Sierra Vista runs $1,577 to $4,440 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice — common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 42 days of typical timeline and $1,150/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 7.9/10 in Sierra Vista, and the city has limited rent control exposure (5.6/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5–3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks — but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Arizona, deposit cap and refund window are statute — exceed at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Sierra Vista: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a ELEVATED tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one — retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Arizona's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $4,440 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Sierra Vista

Trap · 5.6/10
Comparative benchmarking matters in markets like this. Sierra Vista's 5.5/10 is near the Arizona state average. Rent-control-risk sub-score: 5.6/10. See the nearby cities grid below for direct A-vs-B comparison.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the absolute fastest I can get a tenant out for not paying rent in Sierra Vista?

The fastest you can realistically expect is around 3-4 weeks from the day you issue the 5-day pay-or-quit notice, assuming the tenant doesn't fight it and court dockets are clear. However, the typical timeline is 42 days. Don't count on the absolute fastest.
Q2

Can I just change the locks if a tenant stops paying?

Absolutely not. Self-help evictions are illegal in Arizona. Changing locks, shutting off utilities, or removing a tenant's belongings without a court order (Writ of Restitution) can lead to serious legal trouble for you, including fines and damages owed to the tenant. Always follow the legal process.
Q3

Do I need an attorney for an eviction in Sierra Vista?

While you can represent yourself in Justice Court, it's highly recommended to use an attorney, especially if the tenant contests the eviction. One small procedural error can cause significant delays and cost you more in the long run. Given the 5.5/10 risk score and the potential for tenant organizing, having legal counsel is a smart investment.
Q4

How much can I charge for late fees in Arizona?

Arizona law doesn't specify a maximum late fee amount, but it must be "reasonable." Generally, 5-10% of the monthly rent is considered reasonable. Make sure your lease clearly states the late fee amount and when it applies.
Q5

What if my tenant claims "rent control" in Sierra Vista?

Arizona has a statewide ban on rent control. There are no rent control ordinances in Sierra Vista or anywhere else in Arizona. Any tenant claiming otherwise is misinformed. You can find more details on Arizona rent control rules.
Q6

What if the tenant moves out but leaves a bunch of stuff behind?

Arizona has specific rules for abandoned property. You need to send a notice to the tenant's last known address, giving them a certain amount of time to reclaim their property. If they don't, you can dispose of it or sell it, depending on its value. Consult with an attorney or review A.R.S. § 33-1370 for the exact procedures.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 5.5/10 places Sierra Vista in the 94th percentile of Arizona cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1–10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976 — a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.