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Green Valley, AZ Eviction Risk Score Santa Cruz County · Arizona · Population 22,114 · Updated

5.4 Moderate
★★★ High confidence
20.3%Tenant-law probabilityi
$1,541–4,533Typical eviction costi
41 daysTypical timelinei
4.35%Eviction filing ratei
$1,114HUD 2BR FMR 2025i
$1,171Median gross renti
45.2%Rent burdeni
13.8%Rentersi

Sub-score breakdown

Local political climate
7.1
Dem margin +35.5% in 2020
Regional political climate
7.1
Dem margin +35.5% in 2020
State political climate
2.2
Economic stress
4.7
8.5% poverty · 2.9% unemployed
Supply constraint
5.2
$1,171 median rent · 13.8% renters
Rent-control risk
9.4
45.2% rent burden
Eviction process difficulty
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
3.5
13.8% renters
Housing court bias
7.0
Eviction filing rate (ground truth)
6.4
4.35 filings per 100 renter households (county, latest year)
Voucher gap (market vs HUD FMR)
0.0
Market rent +5.1% vs HUD 2BR FMR ($1,114)

Sub-scores are national percentile rankings (1 = most landlord-friendly, 10 = most tenant-protective) derived from ACS 2023 5-year data, 2020 county presidential margin, and state law weighting. Source: ACS 2023 5-year + Gazetteer 2024.

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About eviction risk in Green Valley, AZ

Green Valley, AZ has an eviction risk score of 5.4 out of 10, placing it in the moderate-risk tier for landlords operating in Santa Cruz County and the state of Arizona. The score combines local political climate, court disposition patterns, cost-of-eviction estimates, tenant organizing strength, and the likelihood of new tenant-protective legislation in the next legislative cycle.

Census ACS 2023 5-year estimates show median gross rent as a percentage of household income is 45.2% — a core driver of eviction filings, because households above 30% of income on rent are statistically more likely to miss a payment after any income shock. Median gross rent in Green Valley is $1,171/month. About 13.8% of occupied units here are renter-occupied.

Economic stress: poverty rate 8.5%, unemployment 2.9%. Higher values correlate with higher eviction filing rates and longer court timelines.

Political climate: In 2020, Santa Cruz County voted Democratic by 35.5 points — classified as strongly tenant-leaning for purposes of rent-control or just-cause expansion risk.

What this score means for landlords

At 5.4/10, Green Valley is an elevated-risk environment. Tenant protections are stronger than the national median. Use proactive screening, document notices in writing, and understand your specific just-cause and rent-cap exposure before raising rent or terminating a tenancy.

Nearby Cities — Eviction Risk Comparison

Landlord Guides & Research Tools

Deepen your market research with these ACS-data guides. The metrics powering this score feed directly into each ranking.

Landlord Guides for Arizona

Eviction Costs — Arizona →
Filing fees, attorney fees, lost rent, sheriff lockout
Eviction Process — Arizona →
Step-by-step timeline, notices, statute cites
Rent Control — Arizona →
Statewide caps, local ordinances, just-cause
Tenant Screening — Arizona →
5-point protocol, legal rules, protected classes
Tenant Protections — Arizona →
Just cause, retaliation, habitability, entry