Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
The Spectrum at Val Vista Eviction Risk: Lower , Gilbert
Tract 04013815402 ·
Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,709 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 04013815402 covers part of the The Spectrum at Val Vista area of Gilbert, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,709 residents. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%Stable renters 25%Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,527
Renter share40.0%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate1.2%
Median income$117,221
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In The Spectrum at Val Vista
Moderate
Within parent city
19th percentile
#47 of 58 tracts In Gilbert
Very Low
Within county
3th percentile
#977 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40th percentile
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gilbert and the region
Centroid at 33.2951, -111.7628 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Spectrum at Val Vista scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gilbert
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
1.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,190 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gilbert
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gilbert
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gilbert
2.0
How The Spectrum at Val Vista compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
25%Socioeconomic
24%Household composition
50%Racial/ethnic minority
43%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.8%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
10.3%Food insecurity
6.4%SNAP enrollment
6.3%Transit barriers
7.8%No health insurance
14.7%Frequent mental distress
21.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Spectrum at Val Vista
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened.
SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally.
It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The voucher gap is 12.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013815402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013815402?
Census tract 04013815402 in the The Spectrum at Val Vista neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013815402?
Median gross rent is $2,190/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013815402?
1.2% of residents in tract 04013815402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,709.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013815402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 24th, minority 50th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 04013815402 considered part of The Spectrum at Val Vista?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013815402 fall within The Spectrum at Val Vista (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013815402 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013815402 compare to Gilbert overall?
Tract 04013815402 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Gilbert at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gilbert eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gilbert
Top eight tracts in Gilbert ranked by composite eviction-risk score.