Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Gilbert Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04013815502 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,077 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

The Gilbert Ranch neighborhood of Gilbert is where census tract 04013815502 sits, home to 3,077 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.8/10. It lands near the 33rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 66% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,736 a month against an average household income of $64,395 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 83% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

2.8

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 54% Stable renters 29% Owners 17%

Tract context

Occupied units1,700

Renter share82.9%

SVI overall0.23

Poverty rate8.2%

Median income$64,395

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gilbert and the region

Centroid at 33.3015, -111.7474 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gilbert Ranch scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Gilbert

2.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

8.2% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$1,736 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Gilbert

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Gilbert

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Gilbert

2.0

How Gilbert Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

39%Socioeconomic
6%Household composition
58%Racial/ethnic minority
31%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Gilbert Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.3%Housing insecurity
6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
13.4%Food insecurity
8.9%SNAP enrollment
8.3%Transit barriers
9.7%No health insurance
18.1%Frequent mental distress
24.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gilbert Ranch

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 3.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gilbert eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013815502

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013815502?

Census tract 04013815502 in the Gilbert Ranch neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013815502?

Median gross rent is $1,736/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013815502?

8.2% of residents in tract 04013815502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,077.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013815502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 6th, minority 58th, housing 31th.

Is tract 04013815502 considered part of Gilbert Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013815502 fall within Gilbert Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013815502 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013815502 compare to Gilbert overall?

Tract 04013815502 scores 2.8/10, higher than the parent city of Gilbert at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gilbert eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gilbert

Top eight tracts in Gilbert ranked by composite eviction-risk score.