Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Litchfield Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate , Avondale
Tract 04013061300 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,380 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 04013061300 sits in the Litchfield Junction area of Goodyear eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. It is home to 2,380 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units713
Renter share68.4%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$68,897
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Avondale and the region
Centroid at 33.4414, -112.3634 · click any tract to drill in
Why Litchfield Junction scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,504 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
5.9
How Litchfield Junction compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 384Total filings over 5 yrs
- 22.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 30.9%Peak (2004)
- 93Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 48% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Litchfield Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.3%Housing insecurity
- 13.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.9%Food insecurity
- 28.6%SNAP enrollment
- 17.4%Transit barriers
- 28.7%No health insurance
- 19.0%Frequent mental distress
- 41.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Litchfield Junction
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. 68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. SNAP participation runs 28.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,504, 23% below the Goodyear average. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Housing insecurity runs 24.3% against 14.2% nationally. Court records carry 384 eviction filings across 5 observed years. It sits 0.9 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
Filings peaked in 2004 at 30.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 22.8% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013061300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061300?
Census tract 04013061300 in the Litchfield Junction neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013061300?
Median gross rent is $1,504/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061300?
12.2% of residents in tract 04013061300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,380.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 92th, minority 81th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 04013061300 considered part of Litchfield Junction?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061300 fall within Litchfield Junction (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 384 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013061300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.82% of renter households, peaking at 30.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013061300 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013061300 compare to Avondale overall?
Tract 04013061300 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Avondale at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Avondale
Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Wildflower Ranch
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013061063
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Estrella Vista
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013723304
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Canyon Trails
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Pebblecreek
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Centerra
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013061064
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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