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Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally

Litchfield Junction Eviction Risk: Lower , Avondale

Tract 04013061300 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,380 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

In the Litchfield Junction area of Avondale, census tract 04013061300 scores 5.9/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 73% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,504 a month against an average household income of $68,897 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 68% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 36% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units713
Renter share68.4%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$68,897

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Litchfield Junction
Very Low
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 24 tracts In Avondale
Very High
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#513 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#1,080 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Avondale and the region

Centroid at 33.4414, -112.3634 · click any tract to drill in

Why Litchfield Junction scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,504 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
5.9

How Litchfield Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Litchfield Junction risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 061300Avondale: 2.62.6Avondaleparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 384Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 22.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 30.9%Peak (2004)
  • 93Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130613002001: 63 filings (19.46/100 renter HHs)2002: 71 filings (21.94/100 renter HHs)2003: 57 filings (17.61/100 renter HHs)2004: 100 filings (30.89/100 renter HHs)2005: 93 filings (24.22/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 48% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Litchfield Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Litchfield Junction

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Avondale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 384 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 22.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 30.9% of renter households in 2004.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061300?

Census tract 04013061300 in the Litchfield Junction neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013061300?

Median gross rent is $1,504/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061300?

12.2% of residents in tract 04013061300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,380.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 92th, minority 81th, housing 49th.
Q5

Is tract 04013061300 considered part of Litchfield Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061300 fall within Litchfield Junction (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 384 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013061300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.82% of renter households, peaking at 30.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013061300 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013061300 compare to Avondale overall?

Tract 04013061300 scores 3/10, higher than the parent city of Avondale at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Avondale

Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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