Tract 04013061053 ·
Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,504 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 4.7/10, tract 04013061053 in the Wildflower Ranch area of Goodyear, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,504 residents. Severe burden reaches 42%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%Stable renters 12%Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units3,005
Renter share39.5%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$55,958
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Wildflower Ranch
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 24 tracts In Goodyear
Very High
Within county
81th percentile
#195 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
79th percentile
#373 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goodyear and the region
Centroid at 33.4557, -112.4014 · click any tract to drill in
Why Wildflower Ranch scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Goodyear
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,814 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goodyear
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goodyear
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goodyear
5.9
How Wildflower Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
74%Socioeconomic
51%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
89%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
14.8%Housing insecurity
8.6%Utility-shutoff threat
18.4%Food insecurity
13.2%SNAP enrollment
10.0%Transit barriers
14.3%No health insurance
16.3%Frequent mental distress
28.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Wildflower Ranch
70% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $55,958, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10.
It sits 1.0 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. On the national scale it lands near the 55th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,814, close to the Goodyear average.
40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013061053
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061053?
Census tract 04013061053 in the Wildflower Ranch neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013061053?
Median gross rent is $1,814/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061053?
9.6% of residents in tract 04013061053 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,504.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061053?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 51th, minority 76th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 04013061053 considered part of Wildflower Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061053 fall within Wildflower Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013061053 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013061053 compare to Goodyear overall?
Tract 04013061053 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Goodyear at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear
Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.