Neighborhood · Ranked #19,870 of 84,120 nationally

Wildflower Ranch Eviction Risk: Elevated , Goodyear

Tract 04013061053 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,504 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 04013061053 sits in the Wildflower Ranch neighborhood of Goodyear, Arizona. It has a population of 7,504 and an eviction-risk score of 6.0/10 (Elevated tier). 70% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 42% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,814/month against a median household income of $55,958 — roughly 39% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

6.0

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 12% Owners 61%

Tract context

Occupied units3,005

Renter share39.5%

SVI overall0.81

Poverty rate9.6%

Median income$55,958

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Goodyear and the region

Centroid at 33.4557, -112.4014 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wildflower Ranch scores 6.0

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Goodyear

5.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

9.6% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$1,814 rent vs county FMR

4.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Goodyear

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Goodyear

5.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Goodyear

5.9

How Wildflower Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

74%Socioeconomic
51%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
89%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.8%Housing insecurity
8.6%Utility-shutoff threat
18.4%Food insecurity
13.2%SNAP enrollment
10.0%Transit barriers
14.3%No health insurance
16.3%Frequent mental distress
28.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061053

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061053?

Census tract 04013061053 in the Wildflower Ranch neighborhood scores 6.0/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013061053?

Median gross rent is $1,814/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061053?

9.6% of residents in tract 04013061053 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,504.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061053?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 51th, minority 76th, housing 89th.

Is tract 04013061053 considered part of Wildflower Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061053 fall within Wildflower Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013061053 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013061053 compare to Goodyear overall?

Tract 04013061053 scores 6.0/10 — right in line with the parent city of Goodyear at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear

Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.