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Neighborhood · Avondale, AZ

Litchfield Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 10,965 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5/10 · range 4.6–5.5

Litchfield Junction takes in 3 census tracts of Avondale, AZ and houses 10,965 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5/10, in the Moderate tier. 29.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.9/10. At $1,412 a month, rents sit 23% under what the rest of Avondale commands.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.2/10. The severe-burden share is 15%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Court records carry 957 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts.

The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation is 26.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Cost burden runs 37% against 32.7% citywide, putting Litchfield Junction 4.7% over its own city.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.4/10. The worst year on record was 2005, when filings touched 30.9% of renter households.

Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of Avondale, it ranks #2 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 9.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Litchfield Junction vs Avondale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.4% +14%
Avondale: 32.7%
Average gross rent
$1,412 -23%
Avondale: $1,832
Average HH income
$68,030 -16%
Avondale: $81,260
Poverty rate
17.9% +64%
Avondale: 10.9%
Renter share
55.7% +45%
Avondale: 38.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Litchfield Junction and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.6–5.5

Why Litchfield Junction scores 5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
37% of income on rent · Range 7.2–8.3 across tracts
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.6–2.0 across tracts
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
56% renter households · Range 5.0–7.9 across tracts
7.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–6.4 across tracts
6.3
Economic stress
17.9% below poverty line · Range 3.0–8.2 across tracts
4.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–2.7 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Litchfield Junction vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Litchfield Junction score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Litchfield Junctio: 5.05.0Litchfield JunctioNeighborhoodParent city: 4.14.1Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Litchfield Junction?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.9 points from 4.6 to 5.5. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Litchfield Junction

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013061401 5.5 2,075 60% $1,312
04013061402 5 6,510 27% $1,410
04013061300 4.6 2,380 47% $1,504
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 92

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 82%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 93%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 88%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 81%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Litchfield Junction

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 957Total filings (sum)
  • 15.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 30.9%Peak year (2005)
  • 17.72%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Litchfield Junction

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Litchfield Junction

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Litchfield Junction?

Litchfield Junction scores 5/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Litchfield Junction compare to Avondale overall?

Litchfield Junction scores 0.9 points higher than Avondale overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,412 vs $1,832.
Q3

What is the average rent in Litchfield Junction?

Average gross rent in Litchfield Junction is $1,412/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Litchfield Junction residents are renters?

56% of Litchfield Junction households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Avondale). The neighborhood has 10,965 residents.
Q5

Is Litchfield Junction a high social-vulnerability area?

Litchfield Junction sits in the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Litchfield Junction have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Litchfield Junction is census tract 04013061401 (score 5.5/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 5.5, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Litchfield Junction for landlords?

Litchfield Junction carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Avondale as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Litchfield Junction?

Litchfield Junction has 10,412 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (74.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (15.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Litchfield Junction

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Avondale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Litchfield Junction.

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