Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
Litchfield Junction Eviction Risk: Lower , Avondale
Tract 04013061402 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,510 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 04013061402 covers the Litchfield Junction neighborhood of Avondale, home to 6,510 residents. For landlords it grades 5.5/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 59% of US census tracts.
27% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,410 monthly, set against $73,358 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,000
Renter share46.1%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$73,358
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
79
th percentile
High
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Avondale and the region
Centroid at 33.4265, -112.3443 · click any tract to drill in
Why Litchfield Junction scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,410 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
6.4
How Litchfield Junction compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 374Total filings over 5 yrs
- 13.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.1%Peak (2005)
- 107Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 60% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Litchfield Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.4%Housing insecurity
- 10.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.6%Food insecurity
- 18.8%SNAP enrollment
- 13.6%Transit barriers
- 26.6%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 34.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Litchfield Junction
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Avondale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 21.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 374 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 13.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.1% of renter households in 2005.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013061402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061402?
Census tract 04013061402 in the Litchfield Junction neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013061402?
Median gross rent is $1,410/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061402?
15.2% of residents in tract 04013061402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,510.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 92th, minority 91th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 04013061402 considered part of Litchfield Junction?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061402 fall within Litchfield Junction (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 374 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013061402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.89% of renter households, peaking at 15.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013061402 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013061402 compare to Avondale overall?
Tract 04013061402 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Avondale at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Avondale
Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013082209
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Coldwater Springs
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013082024
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Alamar
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013082210
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Sage Creek
3
/ 10 · Low
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