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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Culdesac Tempe Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013319201 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,093 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

04013319201 is a census tract in the Culdesac Tempe area of Tempe, AZ. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 7,093 residents. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 31% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,868
Renter share69.5%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate24.8%
Median income$51,977

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Culdesac Tempe
Moderate
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 41 tracts In Tempe
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tempe and the region

Centroid at 33.4184, -111.9002 · click any tract to drill in

Why Culdesac Tempe scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tempe
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
24.8% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,480 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tempe
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tempe
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tempe
4.5

How Culdesac Tempe compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Culdesac Tempe risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 319201Tempe: 4.24.2Tempeparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,132Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 13.23%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.4%Peak (2005)
  • 270Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040133192012001: 252 filings (14.25/100 renter HHs)2002: 223 filings (12.61/100 renter HHs)2003: 213 filings (12.04/100 renter HHs)2004: 174 filings (9.84/100 renter HHs)2005: 270 filings (17.42/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Culdesac Tempe. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Culdesac Tempe

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $51,977, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points. 56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.

This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,132 filings here across 5 tracked years.

Average gross rent is $1,480, 15% below the Tempe average. The worst year on record was 2005, when 17.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 13.2% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013319201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013319201?

Census tract 04013319201 in the Culdesac Tempe neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013319201?

Median gross rent is $1,480/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013319201?

24.8% of residents in tract 04013319201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,093.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013319201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 28th, minority 78th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 04013319201 considered part of Culdesac Tempe?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013319201 fall within Culdesac Tempe (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013319201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,132 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013319201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.23% of renter households, peaking at 17.4% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013319201 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013319201 compare to Tempe overall?

Tract 04013319201 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tempe at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tempe

Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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