Neighborhood · Tempe, AZ

Culdesac Tempe Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 29,042 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 4.6–5.6

Culdesac Tempe takes in 5 census tracts of Tempe, AZ and houses 29,042 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Against a Tempe baseline of 31.3%, roughly one in two of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 27%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. This is a renter market: 80% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Set annual rent against average household income of $52,262 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.8/10.

The poverty rate is 29%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.2/10.

At $1,398 a month, rents sit 20% under what the rest of Tempe commands. The 5 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 4.6 to 5.6, a 1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Filings are well documented here: 8,038 across 5 observed tracts.

Running hot is economic stress at 7.3/10. The worst year on record was 2005, when filings touched 35.8% of renter households.

That places it #2 of 14 neighborhoods in Tempe. Judgments average 9.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

5 tracts · population-weighted

Culdesac Tempe vs Tempe How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

53.0% +69%

Tempe: 31.3%

Average gross rent

$1,398 -20%

Tempe: $1,743

Average HH income

$52,262 -33%

Tempe: $77,643

Poverty rate

29.1% +80%

Tempe: 16.2%

Renter share

79.8% +38%

Tempe: 57.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Culdesac Tempe and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 4.6–5.6

Why Culdesac Tempe scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.5–7.5 across tracts

6.7

Rent control risk

53% of income on rent · Range 1.0–2.0 across tracts

1.8

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–4.5 across tracts

4.2

Tenant organizing strength

80% renter households · Range 2.5–6.0 across tracts

5.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.5–4.5 across tracts

4.1

Economic stress

29.1% below poverty line · Range 6.2–10.0 across tracts

7.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–2.8 across tracts

2.2

Risk score comparison

Culdesac Tempe vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Culdesac Tempe?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1 points from 4.6 to 5.6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 4.6

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

5 tracts in Culdesac Tempe

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013319104	5.6	7,440	43%	$1,408
04013319201	5.6	7,093	56%	$1,480
04013319103	5.6	4,915	59%	$1,326
04013319202	5.6	3,937	64%	$1,521
04013422104	4.6	5,657	49%	$1,258

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 77

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 87%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 15%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 88%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Culdesac Tempe

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

8,038Total filings (sum)
18.79%Avg annual filing rate
35.8%Peak year (2005)
21.24%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Culdesac Tempe

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

14.6%Housing insecurity
8.8%Utility shutoff threat
21.8%Food insecurity
15.9%SNAP enrollment
13.2%No health insurance
28.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Culdesac Tempe

What is the eviction-risk score for Culdesac Tempe?

Culdesac Tempe scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Culdesac Tempe compare to Tempe overall?

Culdesac Tempe scores 1.2 points higher than Tempe overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,398 vs $1,743.

What is the average rent in Culdesac Tempe?

Average gross rent in Culdesac Tempe eviction risk is $1,398/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Culdesac Tempe residents are renters?

80% of Culdesac Tempe households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Tempe). The neighborhood has 29,042 residents.

Is Culdesac Tempe a high social-vulnerability area?

Culdesac Tempe sits in the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Culdesac Tempe have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Culdesac Tempe is census tract 04013319104 (score 5.6/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 5.6, a spread of 1 points.

How safe is Culdesac Tempe for landlords?

Culdesac Tempe eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tempe as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Culdesac Tempe?

Culdesac Tempe has 29,429 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (40.3%), Hispanic / Latino (27.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (15.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Culdesac Tempe

4 McClintock Manor 5 tracts · pop 24,876 4.3 Tempe Cascade 5 tracts · pop 20,599 5 Tempe Junction 9 tracts · pop 42,970 3.7 Dobson Shores 6 tracts · pop 12,481 3 Knoell East 3 tracts · pop 8,032 4.9 Peterson 6 tracts · pop 20,867

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tempe

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Culdesac Tempe.

5.2 Papage Parkway No. 6 1 tracts · pop 3,369 5.1 Tempe Junction 9 tracts · pop 42,970 5.1 Peterson 6 tracts · pop 20,867 4.5 Helena 2 tracts · pop 11,465 4.4 Campo Allegre Tract 1 tracts · pop 3,883 4.2 The Lakes 1 tracts · pop 5,212

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