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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Culdesac Tempe Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013319104 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,440 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 04013319104 sits in the Culdesac Tempe area of Tempe eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. It is home to 7,440 residents. This is renter territory: 95% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 54% Owners 5%
Tract context
Occupied units3,858
Renter share94.6%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate27.2%
Median income$61,028

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Culdesac Tempe
High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 41 tracts In Tempe
High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tempe and the region

Centroid at 33.4111, -111.9177 · click any tract to drill in

Why Culdesac Tempe scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tempe
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
27.2% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$1,408 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tempe
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tempe
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tempe
4.5

How Culdesac Tempe compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Culdesac Tempe risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 319104Tempe: 4.24.2Tempeparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,993Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 19.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.8%Peak (2001)
  • 400Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040133191042001: 446 filings (21.80/100 renter HHs)2002: 395 filings (19.31/100 renter HHs)2003: 378 filings (18.48/100 renter HHs)2004: 374 filings (18.28/100 renter HHs)2005: 400 filings (21.99/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Culdesac Tempe. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Culdesac Tempe

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. It sits 1.9 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.

21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. At $1,408 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Tempe commands.

The filing record is not thin: 1,993 evictions over 5 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2001 at 21.8% of renter households.

In a typical year about 20.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 7.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013319104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013319104?

Census tract 04013319104 in the Culdesac Tempe neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013319104?

Median gross rent is $1,408/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013319104?

27.2% of residents in tract 04013319104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,440.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013319104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 7th, minority 76th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 04013319104 considered part of Culdesac Tempe?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013319104 fall within Culdesac Tempe (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013319104?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,993 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013319104 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.97% of renter households, peaking at 21.8% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013319104 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013319104 compare to Tempe overall?

Tract 04013319104 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tempe at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tempe

Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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