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Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally

Mystic at Lake Pleasant Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Peoria

Tract 04013040537 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,668 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 04013040537 in the Mystic at Lake Pleasant Heights neighborhood of Peoria ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,668 residents. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $129,838 a year. Renters make up 1% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 1% Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units1,242
Renter share1.4%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$129,838

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Mystic at Lake Pleasant Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 44 tracts In Peoria
Very Low
Within county
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#938 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#1,683 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Peoria and the region

Centroid at 33.7676, -112.3037 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mystic at Lake Pleasant Heights scores 1.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Peoria
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Peoria
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Peoria
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Peoria
2.5

How Mystic at Lake Pleasant Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mystic at Lake Pleasant Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.31.3This tracttract 040537Peoria: 2.42.4Peoriaparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mystic at Lake Pleasant Heights

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Peoria eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 4.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013040537

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013040537?

Census tract 04013040537 in the Mystic at Lake Pleasant Heights neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013040537?

3.1% of residents in tract 04013040537 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,668.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013040537?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 3th, minority 39th, housing 1th.
Q4

Is tract 04013040537 considered part of Mystic at Lake Pleasant Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013040537 fall within Mystic at Lake Pleasant Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 04013040537 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 04013040537 compare to Peoria overall?

Tract 04013040537 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Peoria at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Peoria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Peoria

Top eight tracts in Peoria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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