Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Sun City Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013071802 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,313 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Sun City
Census tract 04013071802 covers part of Sun City, AZ, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,988
Renter share19.3%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$41,200
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
National
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sun City and the region
Centroid at 33.5726, -112.2798 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sun City scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sun City
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,218 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sun City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sun City
1.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sun City
2.1
How Sun City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 17Total filings over 5 yrs
- 0.87%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.5%Peak (2004)
- 3Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.2%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.4%Food insecurity
- 10.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 10.9%Frequent mental distress
- 44.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sun City
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $41,200, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.2/10.
Disability prevalence runs 44.7% against 31.5% nationally. At $1,218 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Sun City commands.
The filing record is not thin: 17 evictions over 5 years of observation. Housing insecurity runs 6.2% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 0.8 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
The worst year on record was 2004, when 1.5% of renter households were served.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013071802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013071802?
Census tract 04013071802 in Sun City scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013071802?
Median gross rent is $1,218/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013071802?
12.0% of residents in tract 04013071802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,313.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013071802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 22th, minority 21th, housing 31th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013071802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 17 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013071802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.87% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013071802 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013071802 compare to Sun City overall?
Tract 04013071802 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Sun City at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sun City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sun City
Top eight tracts in Sun City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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04013071505
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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Pueblo El Mirage RV Resort
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013071801
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013071504
3.9
/ 10 · Low
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3.8
/ 10 · Low
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/ 10 · Low
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3.7
/ 10 · Low
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3.6
/ 10 · Low
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