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Census Tract · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Sun City Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013071801 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,058 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Sun City

With a score of 5.3/10, tract 04013071801 in Sun City ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,058 residents. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 69% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 54% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,185 monthly, set against $40,694 in average yearly household income, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 21% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 7% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,919
Renter share21.2%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate22.7%
Median income$40,694

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 11 tracts In Sun City
Very High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#201 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#513 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,735 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sun City and the region

Centroid at 33.5901, -112.2766 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sun City scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sun City
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
22.7% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,185 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sun City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sun City
1.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sun City
2.1

How Sun City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sun City risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 071801Sun City: 2.52.5Sun Cityparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 31Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 1.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.2%Peak (2001)
  • 7Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130718012001: 12 filings (2.21/100 renter HHs)2002: 2 filings (0.37/100 renter HHs)2003: 5 filings (0.92/100 renter HHs)2004: 5 filings (0.92/100 renter HHs)2005: 7 filings (0.90/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sun City

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 5.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sun City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 31 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 1.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.2% of renter households in 2001.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013071801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013071801?

Census tract 04013071801 in Sun City scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013071801?

Median gross rent is $1,185/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013071801?

22.7% of residents in tract 04013071801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,058.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013071801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 48th, minority 18th, housing 94th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013071801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 31 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013071801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.06% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013071801 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013071801 compare to Sun City overall?

Tract 04013071801 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Sun City at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sun City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sun City

Top eight tracts in Sun City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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