Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor Eviction Risk: Lower , Sun City
Tract 04013071516 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,363 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 3.7/10, tract 04013071516 in the Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor area of Sun City, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,363. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Sun City and the region
Centroid at 33.6034, -112.2607 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 237Total filings over 5 yrs
- 22.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 49.5%Peak (2004)
- 56Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.9%Food insecurity
- 7.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 10.3%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 33.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor
66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $59,000 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 237 evictions over 5 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,744, 11% above the Sun City average. The worst year on record was 2004, when 49.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 22.9% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 04013071516
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013071516?
What is the average rent in tract 04013071516?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013071516?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013071516?
Is tract 04013071516 considered part of Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013071516?
What share of households in tract 04013071516 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013071516 compare to Sun City overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Sun City
Top eight tracts in Sun City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.