Within parent city
90
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Sun City Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013071505 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,199 · 84% of tract blocks fall in Sun City
For landlords sizing up Sun City in Maricopa County, census tract 04013071505 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
68% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,456 a month while the average household earns $51,591 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units3,816
Renter share25.9%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate20.1%
Median income$51,591
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sun City and the region
Centroid at 33.6233, -112.2982 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sun City scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sun City
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
20.1% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,456 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sun City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sun City
1.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sun City
2.1
How Sun City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 52Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.3%Peak (2003)
- 12Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.4%Food insecurity
- 10.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 11.5%Frequent mental distress
- 45.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sun City
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sun City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 52 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 3.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.3% of renter households in 2003.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013071505
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013071505?
Census tract 04013071505 in Sun City scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013071505?
Median gross rent is $1,456/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013071505?
20.1% of residents in tract 04013071505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,199.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013071505?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 23th, minority 25th, housing 69th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013071505?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 52 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013071505 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.97% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013071505 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013071505 compare to Sun City overall?
Tract 04013071505 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Sun City at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sun City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sun City
Top eight tracts in Sun City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013071801
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Pueblo El Mirage RV Resort
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013071802
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013071504
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Westbrook Village
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013071503
3
/ 10 · Low
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