Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Greenbriar Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013104206 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,711 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 4.5/10, tract 04013104206 in the Greenbriar area of Phoenix, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,360
Renter share17.4%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$75,573
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.5723, -112.1454 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greenbriar scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,414 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Greenbriar compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 435Total filings over 5 yrs
- 26.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 33.1%Peak (2003)
- 78Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Greenbriar. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.8%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.9%Food insecurity
- 13.7%SNAP enrollment
- 10.2%Transit barriers
- 16.8%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 32.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Greenbriar
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 435 evictions over 5 years of observation. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. Average gross rent is $1,414, 11% below the Phoenix average.
The worst year on record was 2003, when 33.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 26.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 7.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. 42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013104206
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013104206?
Census tract 04013104206 in the Greenbriar neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013104206?
Median gross rent is $1,414/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013104206?
16.2% of residents in tract 04013104206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,711.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013104206?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 73th, minority 70th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 04013104206 considered part of Greenbriar?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013104206 fall within Greenbriar (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013104206?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 435 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013104206 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 26.80% of renter households, peaking at 33.1% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013104206 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013104206 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013104206 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Wabash Trailer Court
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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Alhambra
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Centura West
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Alhambra
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Garfield
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Silva Mountain
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Shadow Canyon
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Camelback Trailer Ranch
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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