Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Avalon Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013116618 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,416 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 04013116618 in the Avalon Village area of Phoenix, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 11% Owners 75%

Tract context

Occupied units1,737

Renter share24.6%

SVI overall0.47

Poverty rate6.5%

Median income$103,511

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.3672, -112.2026 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avalon Village scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Phoenix

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

6.5% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$1,957 rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Phoenix

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Phoenix

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Phoenix

3.0

How Avalon Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

47%Socioeconomic
63%Household composition
81%Racial/ethnic minority
23%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Avalon Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.5%Housing insecurity
7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
16.7%Food insecurity
10.3%SNAP enrollment
8.9%Transit barriers
14.5%No health insurance
15.1%Frequent mental distress
24.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avalon Village

The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.6/10.

At $1,957 a month, rents run 24% over what the rest of Phoenix commands. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 25% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $103,511.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013116618

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013116618?

Census tract 04013116618 in the Avalon Village neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013116618?

Median gross rent is $1,957/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013116618?

6.5% of residents in tract 04013116618 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,416.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013116618?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 63th, minority 81th, housing 23th.

Is tract 04013116618 considered part of Avalon Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013116618 fall within Avalon Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013116618 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013116618 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013116618 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.