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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Patrick Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Phoenix

Tract 04013116100 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,543 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Eviction risk in Patrick Park in Phoenix centers on tract 04013116100, which scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,543 residents. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,055 monthly, set against $45,588 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 32% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,678
Renter share53.2%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate30.1%
Median income$45,588

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Patrick Park
Very High
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#105 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4002, -112.0213 · click any tract to drill in

Why Patrick Park scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
30.1% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,055 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Patrick Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Patrick Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 116100Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 439Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 14.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.2%Peak (2004)
  • 115Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131161002001: 52 filings (8.11/100 renter HHs)2002: 46 filings (7.18/100 renter HHs)2003: 84 filings (13.10/100 renter HHs)2004: 142 filings (22.15/100 renter HHs)2005: 115 filings (20.39/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 121% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Patrick Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Patrick Park

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 439 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 14.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 22.2% of renter households in 2004.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013116100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013116100?

Census tract 04013116100 in the Patrick Park neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013116100?

Median gross rent is $1,055/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013116100?

30.1% of residents in tract 04013116100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,543.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013116100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 70th, minority 93th, housing 61th.
Q5

Is tract 04013116100 considered part of Patrick Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013116100 fall within Patrick Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013116100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 439 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013116100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.19% of renter households, peaking at 22.2% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013116100 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013116100 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013116100 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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