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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013113301 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,748 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 5/10, tract 04013113301 in the El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn area of Phoenix, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,748. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 45% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units1,215
Renter share88.2%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate50.5%
Median income$25,296

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn
Moderate
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#33 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#107 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4567, -112.0389 · click any tract to drill in

Why El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
50.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$745 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 113301Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn

At $745 a month, rents run 53% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. The poverty rate is 50%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 33.9% against 11.3% nationally.

This is renter territory: 88% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Disability prevalence runs 49.6% against 31.5% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $25,296 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Phoenix. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 10/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013113301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013113301?

Census tract 04013113301 in the El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013113301?

Median gross rent is $745/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013113301?

50.5% of residents in tract 04013113301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,748.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013113301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 95th, minority 88th, housing 100th.
Q5

Is tract 04013113301 considered part of El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013113301 fall within El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013113301 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013113301 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013113301 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 04013113301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 57% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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