Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Bellair Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix
Tract 04013618300 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,789 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 04013618300 covers part of the Bellair area of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,789. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,041
Renter share12.7%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$89,356
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.6434, -112.1432 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bellair scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,853 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Bellair compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 87Total filings over 5 yrs
- 18.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.7%Peak (2001)
- 11Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 54% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bellair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.3%Food insecurity
- 9.7%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 29.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bellair
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. At $1,853 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Phoenix commands. Court records carry 87 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 26.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 18.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013618300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013618300?
Census tract 04013618300 in the Bellair neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013618300?
Median gross rent is $1,853/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013618300?
13.6% of residents in tract 04013618300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,789.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013618300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 33th, minority 46th, housing 10th.
Q5
Is tract 04013618300 considered part of Bellair?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013618300 fall within Bellair (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013618300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 87 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013618300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.62% of renter households, peaking at 26.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013618300 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013618300 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013618300 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Maryvale
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
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Cambridge Heights
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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Garfield
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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Country Club Trailer Grove
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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04013115500
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
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