Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Bellair Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix
Tract 04013618100 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,209 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 04013618100 sits in the Bellair area of Phoenix eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 4,209. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, roughly one in three of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,592
Renter share12.7%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$99,583
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
23
th percentile
Low
Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.6462, -112.1636 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bellair scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,763 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Bellair compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 108Total filings over 5 yrs
- 12.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.5%Peak (2001)
- 11Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 59% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bellair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.2%Food insecurity
- 6.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 8.3%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bellair
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Court records carry 108 eviction filings across 5 observed years. SNAP participation runs 6.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Average gross rent is $1,763, 11% above the Phoenix average.
The worst year on record was 2001, when 15.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 12.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013618100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013618100?
Census tract 04013618100 in the Bellair neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013618100?
Median gross rent is $1,763/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013618100?
3.2% of residents in tract 04013618100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,209.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013618100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 37th, minority 46th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 04013618100 considered part of Bellair?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013618100 fall within Bellair (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013618100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 108 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013618100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.64% of renter households, peaking at 15.5% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013618100 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013618100 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013618100 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
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Wabash Trailer Court
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Cambridge Heights
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
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