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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Bronze Boot Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013108601 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,441 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 5/10, tract 04013108601 in the Bronze Boot area of Phoenix, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,441. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 43% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,386
Renter share76.8%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate26.6%
Median income$59,135

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Bronze Boot
Very High
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#101 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Elevated
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#64 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4980, -112.0590 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bronze Boot scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
26.6% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,185 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Bronze Boot compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bronze Boot risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 108601Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 950Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 23.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 33.0%Peak (2005)
  • 209Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131086012001: 165 filings (18.27/100 renter HHs)2002: 204 filings (22.59/100 renter HHs)2003: 195 filings (21.59/100 renter HHs)2004: 177 filings (19.60/100 renter HHs)2005: 209 filings (32.97/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 27% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bronze Boot. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bronze Boot

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. At $1,185 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.8% against 11.3% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 950 filings here across 5 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 22.3% against 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 33.0% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 23.0% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013108601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013108601?

Census tract 04013108601 in the Bronze Boot neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013108601?

Median gross rent is $1,185/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013108601?

26.6% of residents in tract 04013108601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,441.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013108601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 78th, minority 79th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 04013108601 considered part of Bronze Boot?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013108601 fall within Bronze Boot (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013108601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 950 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013108601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.00% of renter households, peaking at 33.0% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013108601 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013108601 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013108601 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 04013108601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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