Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Central City Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013117200 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,136 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
04013117200 is a census tract in the Central City area of Phoenix, AZ. It scores 5/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,136 residents. Food insecurity runs 41.5% against 17.8% nationally.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units290
Renter share54.5%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate26.0%
Median income$65,735
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.4269, -112.0447 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central City scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
26.0% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,280 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Central City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 35%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 93Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.8%Peak (2005)
- 28Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 211% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.9%Housing insecurity
- 16.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 41.5%Food insecurity
- 33.4%SNAP enrollment
- 19.9%Transit barriers
- 33.3%No health insurance
- 18.3%Frequent mental distress
- 41.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central City
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
SNAP participation runs 33.4% against 15.2% nationally. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. At $1,280 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Phoenix commands.
Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened. Court records carry 93 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 8.8% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 5.0% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013117200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013117200?
Census tract 04013117200 in the Central City neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013117200?
Median gross rent is $1,280/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013117200?
26.0% of residents in tract 04013117200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,136.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013117200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 20th, minority 94th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 04013117200 considered part of Central City?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013117200 fall within Central City (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013117200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 93 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013117200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.99% of renter households, peaking at 8.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013117200 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013117200 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013117200 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 04013117200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 35% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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5
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5
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5
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
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