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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Greentrails Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013619200 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,717 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 5/10, tract 04013619200 in the Greentrails area of Phoenix, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,717. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 40% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units3,004
Renter share81.3%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate25.0%
Median income$52,708

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Greentrails
Very High
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#110 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Elevated
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#153 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6440, -112.0547 · click any tract to drill in

Why Greentrails scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
25.0% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,527 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Greentrails compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Greentrails risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 619200Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,192Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 29.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 43.5%Peak (2003)
  • 241Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040136192002001: 434 filings (28.80/100 renter HHs)2002: 404 filings (26.81/100 renter HHs)2003: 656 filings (43.53/100 renter HHs)2004: 457 filings (30.33/100 renter HHs)2005: 241 filings (16.19/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Greentrails. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Greentrails

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $52,708 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 2,192 evictions over 5 years of observation.

roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Filings peaked in 2003 at 43.5% of renter households.

In a typical year about 29.1% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013619200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013619200?

Census tract 04013619200 in the Greentrails neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013619200?

Median gross rent is $1,527/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013619200?

25.0% of residents in tract 04013619200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,717.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013619200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 22th, minority 61th, housing 80th.
Q5

Is tract 04013619200 considered part of Greentrails?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013619200 fall within Greentrails (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013619200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,192 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013619200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 29.13% of renter households, peaking at 43.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013619200 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013619200 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013619200 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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