Longhaven West Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $41,265 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Food insecurity runs 34.2% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. SNAP participation runs 24.0% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 9.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.